I want to say the collective fading of Patrick Mahomes is going to come back to bite all of us, but the since-departed Tyreek Hill has accounted for 43 of Mahomes’ 151 career touchdowns (just under 30 percent), and 24 of those came from 20-plus yards. You can’t go wrong with Herbert, though I would still prefer to wait a round or two and draft Jackson. He also will give you some value with his legs, averaging 3.7 rush attempts per game in his career. He is entering Year 3, meaning he could take another leap - if that’s even possible, considering the ridiculous production he put forth his first two seasons (9,350 yards and 69 touchdowns, nice). Herbert is the favorite (+700) to lead the NFL in passing yards and has the highest Over/Under total for passing touchdowns (36.5), per Caesars. Oh, and he also is the best running quarterback in the league, which is always what you want for fantasy regardless of format. Marquise Brown was a sizable loss, but Jackson is arguably the least reliant of any QB on his receivers, and Rashod Bateman has breakout potential. A rough game against Miami and a season-derailing injury soon after made his end-of-year numbers look poor, but he was on pace to set a career-high in pass attempts before that. Going into Week 10, Jackson was QB2 on the season in points. Why fantasy football sleepers are passé - and how you should approach your draft insteadįantasy football 2022: Best running back handcuffs to target in draftsĪs I said while discussing tight ends, I am pretty injury-agnostic when it comes to fantasy football (with obvious exceptions). Super Bowl MVP will be challenged as fantasy football’s top receiver The question you have to ask yourself: Is the late second or early third round too rich for your blood? A non-comprehensive list of players I would draft before Allen: Tee Higgins, Keenan Allen, Michael Pittman, Kyle Pitts.įantasy football: New Jaguars receiver a bargain in middle rounds He also broke the curse of QB1 regression set by Patrick Mahomes (QB1 in 2018, QB8 in 2019) and Lamar Jackson (QB1 in 2019, QB10 in 2020) by repeating as the top scorer in 2021. Josh Allen, Bills (ADP: 21.7)Ī lethal passer and willing, physical runner who has scored at least six rushing touchdowns in all four of his professional seasons. So, let’s go through some of those cases. Like with every position in fantasy football, the draft is a case-by-case situation. Conversely, you still can get viable QB1s as late as Round 12 - though the Kirk Cousinses of the world won’t have the same weekly upside as the Lamar Jacksons. Of course, Samuel and Leonard Fournette-level sleepers come out of those later rounds every year, but your chances of hitting on RBs and WRs become much slimmer the later you get in the draft. Though you could have landed Deebo Samuel with the Herbert/Brady pick, you were likely deciding between guys such as Chase Claypool, Kenny Golladay, Melvin Gordon or Ronald Jones. With that Allen pick, you could have gotten D’Andre Swift, Cooper Kupp, Chris Godwin or Mark Andrews. Justin Herbert and Tom Brady - QBs 2 and 3, respectively - both averaged fewer than two points less per game, and could have been had in the seventh or eighth. Josh Allen was the QB1 last year, but he cost a third or fourth-round pick. (If you play in a Superflex or two-QB league, you must take at least one QB in your first two picks, but assume we’re talking about standard format when ADP is involved.) Quarterbacks are a little different - you usually can find studs all throughout the draft, and though I’m not the guy who will set a hard line and tell you to never take a quarterback early, it’s important to understand the opportunity cost if you do so. Onto the quarterbacks! Last week, I came to you with tight end rankings, and expressed the sneaky importance of landing a stud early at the position.
0 Comments
Leave a Reply. |